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Every UFC fight, priced by a model.

Win probabilities, method reads and round props for every bout — with a public track record behind every number.

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UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
VanVSPantoja
2026-09-19 · Los Angeles
What this is

Before every card, the model prices each fight from thousands of UFC bouts — win probabilities, method reads and round props. You see the numbers, the reasoning behind them, and the record they stand on.

63.0%
Winner accuracy
146
Fights graded
-13.2%
£1-bet bankroll ROI
The record is the pitch

Model winner accuracy: 92/146 (63.0%)
£1 flat bets, every event since launch: -9.87 on £75 staked
Every pick is frozen before the first bell — graded in public, wins and misses.

See the full record →